'Not true': Grok fact-checks President Trump's 'highest numbers' claim
President Donald Trump claimed that he has the highest polling numbers ever, "even higher than Election Day," in a post on Truth Social, only to be debunked on X by the Elon Musk-owned social media company's AI assistant, Grok. Bragging about stopping Iran from ever having a nuclear weapon, the President wrote, "Highest Poll Numbers Ever. Even Higher Than Election Day, November 5th."
The pro-democracy conservative political commentary account, 'Republicans against Trump', decided to employ the AI assistant in fact-checking the statement. Asking Grok to "keep it short," the group questioned if the statement was true or if the President was "lying as usual." Grok responded by citing three polls that reported on Trump's current approval ratings. The AI's response was: "No, it's not true...the claim doesn't match public data." As per Grok, the President's current approval rating stands between 37% and 41%.
No, it's not true. Recent polls (NYT, Gallup, Reuters/Ipsos, etc.) put Trump's approval at ~37-41% — near lows for his presidency. His historical high was 49% (first term). Post-election favorability was also higher (~54%). The claim doesn't match public data.
— Grok (@grok) June 29, 2026
What does public data say about Trump's approval ratings?
Most recently released polls put the President's approval rating at a significantly lower point than when he assumed office last year. According to the New York Times, Trump's approval rating stands at 38% as of June 29, with 58% of those polled disapproving of the job he has done so far.
The Gallup poll, cited by Grok, places the President's average approval rating in the first term at 41%, with the graph steadily climbing down till December last year. The Reuters/Ipsos poll paints an even grimmer picture for the administration, revealing that only 34% of respondents approve of the job Trump has done. Conducted between June 18 and 22, the survey found that an overwhelming 64% majority disapprove of his performance, marking a return to the lowest popularity levels of his current term.
The trend is mirrored across a range of other surveys. Both Marquette Law School and AP-NORC track his current job approval at 37% and 38%, respectively, matching the 38% floor found by Quinnipiac University. Meanwhile, the YouGov poll for The Economist puts the President at 36%. The absolute nadir for the administration comes from the American Research Group, whose mid-June survey of 1,100 voters shows a bleak 30% approval rating.
Why is Trump losing support?
According to the Reuters/Ipsos poll, the soaring cost of living and the broader economy remain the Trump administration's steepest hurdles. The President's net approval rating regarding the cost of living has collapsed from -6% at the start of his term to a stark -47%, following reports that inflation hit a three-year high. The Iran war, despite ongoing peace negotiations, remains another policy decision that several Americans have expressed disapproval of.
Among his other signature policies, Trump's take on immigration has flipped from a +7% net approval to a net-negative -18%. Similarly, his foreign policy marks fell from +2% to -24%, heavily weighed down by a mix of early-term tariffs and contentious diplomatic stances, such as his rhetorical pushes to absorb Canada as the 51st state and seize Greenland.
